I’ve given you my prediction and betting advice for the primary event at UFC 218 (Aldo vs Holloway). Now that the moneylines and props are outside for the remainder of the card, it is time for a UFC 218 deep dip.
Which underdogs have worth? Which struggles should bettors avoid? Do you put together a parlay in the fights on tap? Let us have a look.
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Golden Underdogs
There’s no large’dog calling out in UFC 218 to me. But there is 1 man with this card who could withstand some odds.
Francis Ngannou (-270) vs. Alistair Overeem (+230)
Alistair Overeem may get merked with a larger and more powerful puncher at Francis Ngannou, however at +230, he’s worth throwing a few pennies in the slightest. Normally I would put this fight in the stay-away class, but this really is a significant test for Ngannou, a man who really hasn’t been analyzed yet.
Overeem is a veteran of the game and, although his chin might be suspect, he has one of the greatest fight IQs from the heavyweight division. Specialized kickboxing capability and his smarts could provide us a big upset together with a nice profit. Don’t go mad with this, though. Ngannou deserves to be preferred, not by this much. Overeem is well worth a wager.
Felice Herrig (-140) vs. Cortney Casey (+110)
Cortney Casey is not a huge dog, but her +105 moneyline would still net you a good yield or promote a parlay. Both fighters have looked solid, but stylistically, Casey appears to have the size and strength to give Herrig issues. The single woman that has been in a position to fit Casey’s physicality was Claudia Gadelha and that woman is one of the finest in the division. If Casey can pour on the pressure, she can overwhelm Herrig and pick up a tiny upset win . Again, do not go mad and throw your entire bankroll, but Casey is well worth a few shekels.
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